Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.069069 0.080244 0.092472 0.106821 0.123173 0.141201 0.162555
2025-02-02 0.053850 0.069034 0.087145 0.110235 0.138778 0.172782 0.216230
2025-02-09 0.040328 0.056534 0.077421 0.106082 0.144119 0.192560 0.258566
2025-02-16 0.031873 0.048427 0.071293 0.104771 0.152032 0.215767 0.307488
2025-02-23 0.025227 0.041302 0.064967 0.101719 0.156562 0.234387 0.351899
2025-03-02 0.020449 0.035879 0.059968 0.099439 0.161359 0.253308 0.398177
2025-03-09 0.017452 0.032612 0.057566 0.100467 0.170818 0.279534 0.457291
2025-03-16 0.014344 0.028525 0.053111 0.097400 0.173190 0.294863 0.500923
2025-03-23 0.013036 0.027359 0.053325 0.101998 0.188355 0.331499 0.581146
2025-03-30 0.011397 0.025249 0.051509 0.102713 0.196846 0.357837 0.646741
2025-04-06 0.009658 0.022601 0.048263 0.100314 0.199431 0.374251 0.696866
2025-04-13 0.008291 0.020455 0.045629 0.098638 0.202991 0.392438 0.751285
2025-04-20 0.007751 0.020043 0.046470 0.103979 0.220527 0.437495 0.857852
2025-04-27 0.007201 0.019508 0.046980 0.108723 0.237440 0.482963 0.969113
2025-05-04 0.006090 0.017411 0.043797 0.105324 0.237776 0.497453 1.024363
2025-05-11 0.005316 0.015989 0.041887 0.104379 0.242948 0.521549 1.099628
2025-05-18 0.004539 0.014386 0.039290 0.101515 0.243695 0.536906 1.159100
2025-05-25 0.003915 0.013057 0.037128 0.099328 0.245594 0.554619 1.224475
2025-06-01 0.003535 0.012345 0.036388 0.100401 0.254803 0.588034 1.323954
2025-06-08 0.003024 0.011118 0.034105 0.097358 0.254237 0.600772 1.381756
2025-06-15 0.002879 0.011010 0.034813 0.101967 0.272057 0.654384 1.529204
2025-06-22 0.002604 0.010412 0.034064 0.102688 0.280617 0.688388 1.637235
2025-06-29 0.002261 0.009495 0.032244 0.100292 0.281266 0.704778 1.708232